Strategic Studies Institute

Political Trends in the New Eastern Europe: Ukraine and Belarus - Belarus and Russia: Comradeship-in-arms in Preempting Democracy - Ukraine: Domestic Changes and Foreign Policy Reconfiguration Strategic Studies Institute

Belarus remains the last true dictatorship in Europe. As such, its internal and external security agenda is an abiding matter of concern to the European and Western communities. But its trajectory is of equal concern to Moscow, which has been the prime external supporter and subsidizer of the Belarussian government under President Alyaksandr Lukashenka. So while Europe seeks to induce democratic change and democratic forces are trying to establish themselves in the face of withering oppression, Russia has hitherto been the main external prop for Lukashenka's policies. But despite this support-most pronounced until 2007 in terms of defense cooperation which is continuing, and in energy subsidies which are being terminated-tensions between Moscow and Minsk are growing. The brief energy cutoffs imposed by Moscow at the start of the year and Belarus' retaliation shows that not all is well in that relationship.